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<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">DRAFT
- do not share</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">I
did not want to put words in GREN's mouth before we actually
write and agree on what we're submitting, so just threw in my 2
bits at the end. <br>
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">This
is the draft of what I'm submitting. If there's anything
glaringingly missing, let me know by Sunday night. <br>
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Thanks,</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Susan
K <br>
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif""><br>
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Deep
Decarbonization </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Submitted
for
Feb 18/21</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">By
Susan
Koswan</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">The
flipside
to the Deep Adaptation coin is Deep Decarbonization. That means
both stopping
the release of new greenhouse gasses and drawing down what we’ve
already
released. We can no longer afford incremental changes. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">The
Mauna Loa
observatory in Hawaii has been </span><a
href="https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/long-range/forecasts/co2-forecast-for-2021"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">measuring</span></a><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
carbon dioxide levels in our
atmosphere since 1958. This year carbon dioxide levels <span
style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>are expected to reach 417
parts per million
which is, “more than 50% higher than when humanity began
large-scale
burning of fossil fuels in the industrial revolution in the late
18th Century.”
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Anyone
even still
considering the goal of 350.org? </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">What
about
the goal of not exceeding a 1.5° or 2°C rise in global
temperature? That is
only possible if we reduce our greenhouse gas emissions 30 to 40
percent by
2030, 60 to 80 percent by 2050 and 100 percent after that. So
far, we’ve missed
every target that’s been set to avoid climate breakdown. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">In
November
2020, the Trudeau government introduced </span><a
href="https://parl.ca/DocumentViewer/en/43-2/bill/C-12/first-reading"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Bill
C-12</span></a><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
the Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability
Act with the goal to “achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions
by 2050.”
Net-zero or carbon-neutral does not mean eliminating greenhouse
gas emissions;
it means counterbalancing emissions against what we can absorb
or sequester. <span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a
href="https://climateactionnetwork.ca/2020/11/25/technical-recommendations-for-bill-c-12-the-net-zero-emissions-accountability-act/"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Climate
Action Network Canada</span></a><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
has a good, high level analysis of
the bill, and will provide updates as the bill makes its way
through the
legislature. They recommend improved accountability, a carbon
budget, inclusion
of Indigenous peoples and workforce, meaningful and actionable
incremental
targets and checkpoints, and robust and timely reporting. As
well, the Advisory
Body should be comprised of independent experts and
de-politicized.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">There
is no
end to expertise on what we need to do. A 2015 </span><a
href="https://electricity.ca/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/DDPP_CAN.pdf"><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">report</span></a><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif""> by
the Sustainable Development
Solutions Network (SDSN) and Institute for Sustainable
Development and
International Relations (IDDRI) clearly laid out a plan for
Canada to meet our
targets. The Pathways to Deep Decarbonization in Canada named
six pathways that
were both “technically and economically feasible” now:</span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst"
style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span
style="font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol"><span
style="mso-list:Ignore">·<span style="font:7.0pt "Times
New Roman"">
</span></span></span><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Decarbonized
electrification</span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle"
style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span
style="font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol"><span
style="mso-list:Ignore">·<span style="font:7.0pt "Times
New Roman"">
</span></span></span><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Improving
energy productivity</span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle"
style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span
style="font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol"><span
style="mso-list:Ignore">·<span style="font:7.0pt "Times
New Roman"">
</span></span></span><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Reduce,
cap and utilize non-energy emissions</span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle"
style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span
style="font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol"><span
style="mso-list:Ignore">·<span style="font:7.0pt "Times
New Roman"">
</span></span></span><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Move
to zero emission transport fuels</span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle"
style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span
style="font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol"><span
style="mso-list:Ignore">·<span style="font:7.0pt "Times
New Roman"">
</span></span></span><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Decarbonize
industrial processes</span></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraphCxSpLast"
style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><span
style="font-family:Symbol;mso-fareast-font-family:Symbol;mso-bidi-font-family:Symbol"><span
style="mso-list:Ignore">·<span style="font:7.0pt "Times
New Roman"">
</span></span></span><span
style="font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Structural
economic change</span></p>
<p><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">An
</span><a
href="https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/mark-carney-investing-net-zero-climate-solutions-creates-value-and-rewards"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">interview</span></a><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
with Mark Carney, former
head of the Bank of Canada, was surprisingly optimistic. Now the
<span class="image-caption">Special Envoy on Climate Action and
Finance with the United
Nations, Carney sees the dialogue in private finance shifting.
The climate
crisis is no longer considered a risk, but an opportunity, “</span>to
move our
economies to net zero as quickly as possible.” </span></p>
<p><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Based
on the
mantra of “what gets measured gets managed” Carney said
measuring climate
impact, with carbon budgets for example, has to be mandatory.
Investors want to
and have to know if their money is supporting the problem or the
solution. As
much as I dislike putting a dollar sign on everything, our
economic system is a
critical tool to achieving our goals. Like Cindy Lauper sang
back in 1984,
Money Changes Everything. </span></p>
<p><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Carney
emphasized
that it is up to every single one of us to keep up the pressure
and question
our bankers, politicians and businesses to find out what they’re
doing to get
to net-zero. </span></p>
<p><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">A
good place
to start is the Region of Waterloo policy paper on climate
action, that’s part
of the five-year review of the official plan. You can </span><a
href="https://www.engagewr.ca/regional-official-plan/news_feed/climate-action-discussion-paper-and-survey"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">comment</span></a><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
on the Engage
Waterloo website until February 28, 2021. The goal is to reduce
the region’s
emissions 80 percent below 2010 levels by 2050. Bear in mind
that our regional
government’s power is limited to, “providing leadership;
coordinating among
stakeholders; developing and monitoring a clear and consistent
policy
framework; setting region-wide standards; and facilitating
Regional and local
action.”</span></p>
<p><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Much
of the
paper is focused on urban densification with neighbourhood nodes
that ideally
provide most, if not all, the goods and services you need within
15 minutes; active
and public transportation; and green and forested spaces. </span></p>
<p><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Both
</span><a href="https://climateactionwr.ca/climate-action-plans/"><span
style="font-size:
11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">ClimateActionWR</span></a><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
and the grassroots </span><a href="http://www.50by30wr.ca"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">www.50by30wr.ca</span></a><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
are your local
connections to climate action to learn how to be part of the
solution not the problem. </span></p>
<p><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">But
I fear,
with transportation alone accounting for half of our greenhouse
gas emissions
(at least in Waterloo Region), we stand little chance of
averting a climate
crisis until we ban the sale and use of gas-powered vehicles.
The </span><a
href="https://www.coltura.org/world-gasoline-phaseouts"><span
style="font-size:
11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">Coltura</span></a><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"">
website has a list
of places around the world attempting to do just that. </span></p>
<p><span
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